Skip to main content

Reduced traffic may not mean fewer crashes

Reduced traffic may not mean that there are fewer crashes on the world’s roads.
By MJ Woof May 8, 2020 Read time: 2 mins
Lower traffic volumes are being seen on the world’s roads at present, though there is concern over the risk of crashes - image courtesy of Mike Woof

The current Corona Virus pandemic has resulted in a significant drop in vehicle traffic around the world. However, there is mounting concern over road safety at present. Early figures suggest that the rate of of crashes has not dropped significantly.

According to the European Transport Safety Commission (ETSC), there has been an unprecedented reduction in traffic volumes in Europe following the implementation of  movement restrictions arising from the COVID-19 pandemic. But the latest data suggests that road fatality rates have not dropped at the same rate. There are even suggestions that in some locations, road deaths have increased.

A full analysis has yet to be carried out. However, this preliminary data provides significant cause for concern.

Information from the GPS technology provider Tom Tom for several of Europe’s key cities reveals that traffic volumes have been slashed by 70-85% in the countries that have introduced movement restrictions. And according to TRL, traffic volumes on the UK’s motorways have fallen 75%.

A full analysis of traffic volumes and crash rates has yet to be completed. And this is complicated by the fact that not all countries are currently compiling accurate traffic data at present.

But in the Netherlands some data is already being recorded and this reveals that the number of crashes has dropped by 50% since movement restrictions were introduced. However, the Netherlands has not yet compiled full data on either accident severity or injury rates.

In Ireland road deaths actually reached a peak in March, after the movement restrictions were first implemented. Meanwhile, in Italy the strict restrictions on movement have resulted in a drop in road deaths of 70%. Similarly in France and Spain, the movement restrictions have been enforced strictly and road deaths have fallen by 40% and 47% respectively, according to official data.

There is widespread concern that some drivers are taking advantage of empty roads in Belgium, Denmark, France and the UK to hit high speeds according to the ETSC. Denmark’s official data shows a 10% increase in speeding. And similar reports on an increase in the incidence of speeding are being given by police in parts of the US and Australia.

But until a full analysis of data is available, it is too early to compile an accurate picture of road crash rates.

Related Content

  • A drop in crashes in Europe
    July 13, 2020
    A significant drop in crashes has been seen in Europe during the lockdown.
  • Better road safety reduces Europe’s casualty figures
    October 2, 2014
    Improving road safety in the EU has resulted in a drop in the fatality rate. Official figures just released show that the number of people killed on Europe's roads fell by 8% in 2013. This follows on from the drop in fatalities of between 2011 and 2012 and Europe is on track to halve road deaths in the 2010-2020 period Figures released by the European Commission provide grounds for optimism and Antonio Avenoso, executive director of the European Transport Safety Council (ETSC) said, “We welcome the reductio
  • US road safety is a cause for concern
    September 6, 2021
    There is concern over a worrying trend in US road safety, while there have been steady gains in road safety in Europe
  • Road safety improving, but vulnerable road users need protection
    January 11, 2013
    Preliminary data from France over the number of fatalities on the road network reveal safety improvements during 2012. The numbers killed dropped by 7-8%, although the final figures for December are not yet available. The preliminary figures suggest that around 3,600-3,700 were killed on French roads in 2012, compared with 3,970 in 2011. This reduction is in line with targets on cutting the death rate and Ministry of the Interior wants to bring the fatality rate to just 2,000 by 2020. This reduction has bee