 
     East Africa offers considerable potential for transport infrastructure expansion and investment - Shem Oirere reports
     
Infrastructure, infrastructure and more infrastructure is what is needed to make East Africa the favoured destination and Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda and Rwanda have unveiled grand plans to enhance the infrastructure both nationally and regionally.” This is how market analyst 
     
This is the same message transport infrastructure experts, who converged in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania for the 5th East and Central Roads and Rail Infrastructure Summit on August 26th and 27th, echoed as they dissected existing investment potential and challenges in East and Central Africa's two main transport corridors of Northern and Central.
     
“There is some sort of vicious circle in many African countries where lack of public investment in the transport sector leads to lack of economic growth, low levels of unemployment and therefore little or no earning and subsequently high levels of poverty,” said Eric Kaleja director, German Investment Corporation.
     
He said Sub Saharan Africa needs US$93 billion/year for infrastructure development, which can only be realised “through embracing the private sector as long-term partners.”
     
“Africa needs good transport links to stimulate economic growth and create job opportunities but the sector faces many challenges such as insufficient investment which calls for an increased role of the private sector,” said Maggie Tan, chief executive officer of the Singapore-based 
     
“Many people in East and Central Africa do not have access to reliable good transport infrastructure with students and teachers having to cross dangerous streams and rivers to reach school, while women are forced to give birth at home because they cannot make it to public health institutions because of the poor state of the roads in the region,” she said.
In addition, East and Central Africa is one region with “high transport   costs and poor intermodal linkages,” according to Patrick Tamba Musa,   senior transport engineer, Africa Development Bank (AfDB).
     
“It   costs an estimated $2 cents to transport a tonne of cargo/kilometre in   the USA compared to $10 cents or more in many African countries. This   hampers economic growth,” he said. 
 
However,  despite the transport infrastructure challenges in East and  Central  Africa, the recent discovery of huge oil and gas reserves in  the region  and ongoing efforts to increase intra-regional trade,  through the  strengthening of the East Africa Community (EAC) regional  trading bloc,  have attracted the attention of private investors and  international  lenders, triggering a higher demand for efficient and  sustainable  transport systems.
     
“Mineral,   oil & gas discoveries in the region present anchor products that   attracts private sector investment,” said Joster Onyango, Railways   Technical Advisor at the EAC, a regional trading bloc bringing together   Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi.
     
He   listed several road and rail projects in the region, which provide   investors an opportunity to grow both their market share in the region   and investment earnings.
     
For   example, construction of the 260km Arusha-Holili-Voi Road is in the   final design stage while the 400km Malindi-LungaLunga and Tanga-Bagamoyo   Road has received $5.5 million grant of resources from AfDB for  project  preparation, opening an investment window for the private  sector.
Construction of the 92km Lusahanga-Rusumo Road is also up for grabs after AfDB approved funds for its detailed design and that of the 70km Kayonza-Kigali Road, both linking Tanzania and Rwanda.
In  addition, the stage is now set for the detailed design for the 250km  Nyakanazi-Kasulu-Manyovu Road and 78km Rumonge-Rutunga-Bujumbura Road,  which connect Tanzania and Burundi.
     
Tanzania  transport permanent secretary Dr Shabaan Mwinjaka, who gave   the  key-note address at the summit, said the country plans to upgrade   over  600km of trunk road to bitumen standard, rehabilitate another   193.5km to  bitumen standard and upgrade 59.25km of regional roads to   bitumen  standard in addition to the rehabilitation of 424.5km to gravel    standard.
     
Other  regional   projects, which may have been contracted but could still hold   potential  for management concession opportunities include the $466   million Nairobi  Northern Bypass, currently under construction by China   Road and Bridge  Corporation and the 39km Eastern road bypass also in   the Kenyan capital.
Tanzania    and Rwanda are also constructing the  new Rusumo Bridge and  One Stop    Border Post (OSBP) facilities under a  contract by Japan’s  Daiho    Corporation Company.
     
Plans      for East Africa’s first toll highway linking Tanzania’s capital Dar    es   Salaam to the city of Morogogo, a distance of 200km, is one of  the     projects whose investment potential was promoted at the Dar es   Salaam    summit despite some reservations by private sector   participants and    financiers over the lack of proper linkages of the   region's    international trunk roads and rail network. 
     
However,    EAC countries, through their secretariat in Arusha Tanzania, are    working on the creation of a seamless international trunk road system in    the region and standardising the management of the Northern and   Central  corridors.
     
For   example,  Onyango said the countries are at the moment fine-tuning   policies that  would enhance movement of cargo and passengers while at   the same time  maintaining high quality roads. He gave the example of   standardising the  width of the region's international trunk roads,   which now range from  6-7m on single carriageway. The countries, through   EAC, have agreed to  have the width of all these roads at 7m plus 2m   shoulders in tandem with  international practice.
     
Onyango    also called for an efficient intermodal transport system, coordinated    from one transit operation and control centre, even if road and rail    modes of transport are operated by different public or private    agencies.  
     
“There is    tremendous growth in Intra-regional trade, which provides great impetus    for expanding the intermodal and economic infrastructure,” he said. 
Currently,   Onyango said, transhipping of cargo faces serious challenges because  of  the lack of a common coordination centre that monitors operations at   the intermodal terminals such as seaports or in-land terminals such as   the railyards.
     
Despite   Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda and Rwanda allocating a combined $3.7 billion   for road and rail infrastructure, out of their $39.84 billion combined   budget for 2014/15, no funds were specifically set aside for   installation of intelligent transportation systems to manage the   respective countries’ incomplete intermodal integration both along the   Northern and Central corridors.
The Northern Corridor, the busiest transport route in the region,   links   the landlocked economies of Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Eastern   DR   Congo to the port of Mombasa in Kenya while the Central Corridor  is    anchored by the port of Dar es Salaam in Tanzania linking to the  road    and rail networks to these landlocked countries.
     
Except     for investment in additional general purpose lanes on highways and  an    attempt by Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda to establish high occupancy   lanes,   the governments are yet to tap into the potential of corridor    management  systems such as loop detectors to help both public and    private players  collect accurate truck and locomotive movement data,    closed circuit  televisions (CCTVs)—except for about two in Kenya— to    monitor traffic  along the two corridors or even adequate functional    ramp meters, which  are critical in the coordination of any effective    intermodal  transportation.
     
Investing     in high impact technology and formulation of coordination strategies    on  the intermodal transportation networks in East Africa was singled    out  during the Dar es Salaam summit as an opportunity for private    sector  investors. 
     
Currently,    cargo is offloaded at either Mombasa  port in Kenya or Dar es Salaam   port  in Tanzania before it is  transported by trucks to the Kenya/Uganda   rail  yard in Mombasa or  Central Tanzania railyard in Dar es Salaam.  It  is  then packed into a  train for dispatch to another railyard where  the  rail  connects with  the international trunk road such as the   Mombasa/Nairobi  highway in  Kenya. Trucks are then used to transport the   cargo from these   railyards to the rest of the region.
     
The     infrastructure experts called for coordination of the intermodal     transportation regime by having the seaports, rail and road operations     coordinated by one common agency,  unlike now when each of these modes     of transport are managed by different government agencies with   different   operational standards, which experts now want to put under   one central   command for efficiency.
             
“As    it is now in East Africa, there is no body coordinating the  intermodal   transport system which leaves the burden to the customer to  coordinate   the function and ensure the cargo arrives at its  destination,” said   Mahamud Mabuyu, National Logistics Officer, World  Food Programme in   Tanzania.
     
“To  achieve   reduction in transit time, the region needs to work on  standardising the   rail gauge and road management because currently  operations of key   players such as customs agencies, port authorities  and transport   companies are not integrated.”
However,  Tanzania was   cited as one of the countries that is currently working  at unlocking   its Central Corridor through a three-prong approach,  according to Dr   Mwinjaka.
     
First,  the   government intends to increase the efficiency of the port of Dar  es   Salaam to boost its throughput from the current 12 million tonnes  to 18   million tonnes by 2015/16 through investing more public funds in    purchasing modern port equipment and building personnel capacity on    modern seaport operations.
Secondly,    the country hopes to increase cargo moved by rail within   the corridor    from the current 200,000 tons to three million tons by   2015/16 by    rehabilitating the railway line tracks, purchasing rolling   stock and    remanufacturing locomotives and wagons at the Tanzania   Railway    Corporation’s plant at Morogoro. And, finally, the plan hopes   to reduce    travel time by trucks from the Dar es Salaam port to   neighbouring    Burundi and Rwanda from the current three and half days   to two and half    days by the end of 2016 by reducing weighbridges and   introducing an    electronic trucking system.
     
The      plan’s success, however, will depend on how soon, and committed,      countries in the region would be in the implementation of proposals to      standardise the region's road maintenance regime, whose absence   hampers    trucking business.
     
For      example the design of the regional roads and maximum axle limits  are     still a major challenge to the region’s two transport corridors.
     
But      recently the EAC member States announced progress in plans for a     policy  that would require them to ensure an International Roughness     Index  (IRI), or measure of road roughness quality, of between five and     six.  Road agencies in the region can determine the quality by using    the   latest version of the Highway Development and Management Model    (HDM),   which has been described as a primary tool for analysing,    planning,   management and appraisal of road maintenance, improvements    and   investment decisions, distributed by HDMGlobal. 
 
The     countries have also agreed to ensure that pavements with cracks    should   be repaired within 90 days after their appearance, especially    on   international trunk roads linking them.
     
Loaded      trucks in East Africa should be limited to a speed of 65km/h while      empty ones should move at 80km/h under the agreed operational      regulations.
     
In addition,      the countries have agreed to ensure that major cities such as   Nairobi,    Dar es Salaam, Kampala, Kigali and Bujumbura are bypassed   when truck    traffic reaches 1,500 vehicles/day, with a parking or rest   area for    buses, cars and trucks arranged at least every 250km. 
     
The      Federation of East Africa Freight Forwarders Associations president      Merian Sebunya Kyomugisha said road maintenance in East Africa  should     not be addressed in isolation but together with the  contentious  issue  of   the acceptable maximum on axle loads and Gross  Vehicle Mass  (GVM). 
     
“If     we maintain  our roads in good condition, it means they will be    passable  and  movement of our cargo from the seaports will be efficient    because  of  the improved turnaround time,” she said.
However,     she said the private sector, especially those in the trucking    business,  must support East African governments in enforcing the axle    load rules  to arrest the rapid deterioration road infrastructure. 
     
“Truck     operators and owners should be told in no uncertain terms that if   they   destroy the roads today by overloading, the roads will destroy   their   vehicle tomorrow and they will be out of business,” said   Kyomugisha, who   is also the managing director of BTS Clearing and   Forwarding.
     
Her   position   has been supported by the chief executive officer of the  Kenya    Association of Manufacturers Betty Maina, who said previously:     “Overloading normally leads to rutting and cracking among other     deformations of our roads, which shorten the pavement design life     resulting in increased vehicle operating costs, reduction in service     levels, unsafe conditions leading to increased accident risks and     increase road maintenance costs.”
     
She     said poor conditions of roads in East Africa are a major cause of    “road  carnage and high transportation costs which transporters pass on    to  cargo owners – mainly manufacturers who import raw materials.”
     
“For     importers, inland transportation, handling and document preparation     constitute the bulk of transport costs which stand at US$400 for     terminal handling, $800/20-foot container, and US$600 for document     preparation - all totalling to $1,800.”
     
Kenya     recently passed the Kenya Road Act 2007 and Traffic Act which     stipulates that a commercial vehicle must fall within the statutory     gross weight of 48tonnes and that each of its axles must not exceed     8tonnes. The regulation has been suspended by the High Court after     truckers petitioned the “per axle” requirement.
     
In     Early August the World Bank, Kenya Transporters Association and the     Northern Corridor Transit and Transport Coordination Authority   (NCTTCA),   a regional body, jointly came up with a self-regulatory   charter to  curb  overloading on East African roads after surveys   indicated  compliance  with axle load limits in the region was less than   75%.
     
NCTTA   says:  “The   self-regulatory charter is anchored in the East African   Community   Vehicle Load Control Bill 2013, which provides a framework to   be   applied within the region.” 
 Under     the EAC Load Control Bill of 2013, the gross vehicle weight   has been     harmonised to 56tonnes with the maximum for each axle   limited to     10tonnes. This is yet to be fully implemented with   Uganda, Burundi and     Rwanda still allowing a maximum of 52tonnes,   Tanzania 56tonnes and   Kenya   48tonnes.
     
Elsewhere,     the   anticipated road and rail construction boom in East Africa is     expected   to increase demand for bitumen or asphalt cement supply     according to   Gratian B Nshekanabo, managing director Starpeco Limited     in Dar es   Salaam.
Nshekanabo, who gave a     presentation on   bitumen demand and supply in East and Central Africa,     cited the example   of Tanzania, where he said in a single financial     year the government   constructs an average 800km of roads to bitumen     standard, consuming an   estimated 12,000 million metric tonnes of     bitumen annually. 
An estimated 1,023.4km of roads or 17.25% of the
Northern Corridor’s      2,038km are said to be under rehabilitation or reconstruction in the      region, opening yet another opportunity for investors keen on venturing      into East Africa's bitumen market. 
     
“Bitumen    demand   in East Africa, which currently is estimated at 100,000 million      tonnes/year, will mainly be driven by road development in the    region,”   said Nshekanabo.
     
He    said   because of the varied nature of the region’s topography and   land    surface, all types of bitumen such as primer, penetration grades   and    modified bitumen have a ready market.
     
Currently,      the market demand is met by supplies from United Arab Emirates,     Bahrain  and Singapore after the former market leader, Iran, was edged     out  because of the international economic sanctions over its nuclear      development programme.
     
Nshekanabo      said opportunities in bitumen investment in Eastern Africa include      creation of bonded storage reserves in the coastal areas especially  at     the Dar es Salaam and Mombasa ports, investing and promoting   emulsion    bitumen products and bitumen container business, leasing and   hiring of    bitumen processing and discharge and finally trading and   popularising    bitumen packed polycubes and polybags.
     
However,      funding of road and rail systems in East and Central Africa remains  a     major hurdle in achieving infrastructure targets in the region.
     
Kyomugisha      called for the introduction of an infrastructure development levy  at     the Mombasa and Dar es Salaam ports to mobilise funds for road  and   rail   construction and maintenance.
     
“This      should be a levy specifically for transport infrastructure    development   and should not end up in the government consolidated fund    where it can   easily be diverted to other emergencies,” she said.
     
Kenya      introduced a railway development levy, which will support the      construction of the 609km high speed single gauge standard railway line      linking the port of Mombasa to the capital Nairobi at a cost of $3.6      billion. The levy is funded by a 1.5% tax on all Kenya-bound  imports  in    the last half of 2013, the government collected $112  million of  the   levy  surpassing the $76 million target for the  period.
     
“The     private  sector, and especially the importers and exporters would not     mind  paying a little more in infrastructure development levy if they   can    be assured the funds will be held in a separate account and used   in    construction and maintenance of our roads and rail  infrastructure,”   said   Kyomugisha.
     
Senior      Transport specialist at the World Bank, Yonas Mchomvu, said there is      room for public private partnership in the development and   management  of   road and rail in East Africa but the model's success   will depend on    willingness by governments in the region to embrace   several practical    steps towards better infrastructure development.
     
He      urged Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and DRC to “provide      investors with a clear, stable and conducive regulatory framework to      invest with reasonable return and to carefully scrutinise  investment  to    ensure there is a solid business case.”
     
In      addition to strong transport sector regulations, Mchomvu said      concessioning of the modes of transport such as rail and road,  “is not      always a panacea to transportation challenges but public private      partnerships can work best where there is a progressive transport      strategy and governments and private sector appreciate the fact that      investing in infrastructure requires long term guarantees and strong      institutional frameworks.”
     
He      urged governments in East Africa to give priority “to the      rehabilitation or refurbishment of the existing network before      constructing new” because any investment in transport infrastructure by      the private sector or international lenders “must be justified by a      solid business case, which is the level of financial sustainability   and    rational for public sector subsidies.”
     
“The      business case for railway depends on the improvement of train      availability, reliability, punctuality, and financial sustainability,      not on size of track gauge,” said Mchomvu.
     
And      as Tan concluded “there are opportunities in East and Central  Africa     for building safer, cleaner and more affordable transport  systems  that    will solve the congestion problems, create access to  markets and  help    tame climate change by lowering emissions levels.” 
 
     
         
         
        


